Hormuz Disruption Is Locked In Through September — and Likely Well Beyond
Source: Polymarket market “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?”
virtually impossible (0%)
Leading outcome
Yes 0%
Virtually impossible · Stable · A · tracked 107 days
peak 30% (100d ago) · low 0% (41d ago)
8 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
0.0 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$26K
$12.3M all time
Resolves by
2026-10-01
The Money Talks —
Talks Will Probably Happen — But the Window Is Narrowing Fast
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