The 10-Year Treasury Yield Hitting 5.3% Before 2027 Is Now a Dead Heat
Source: Polymarket market “How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?”
a coin flip (45%)
Leading outcome
5.3% 45%
A coin flip · Falling · D · tracked 105 days
peak 98% (60d ago) · low 32% (21d ago)
probably not → a coin flip
20 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
17.5 pts
5.3%
Traded 24h
$15K
$1.2M all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Where the money stands
5.3%
45%
▲
17.5
5.4%
22%
▲
9.0
5.5%
12%
▲
3.0
5.7%
6%
0.4
6.0%
3%
▲
1.9
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