World

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Iran successfully targets shipping on...?”

very likely (97%)
Resolved The money put August 14 at 80% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome August 17 97% Very likely · Rising · B · tracked 70 days peak 98% (64d ago) · low 18% (67d ago) a coin flip → very likely 5 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 48.1 pts August 17
Traded 24h $35K $243K all time
Resolves by 2026-08-31
Source markets 19 19 markets · mixed

Source markets for this story

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · October 18 100% · +2.8 24h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · October 18 100% · +2.1 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 4% · -1.0 24h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 16%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket · March 31 60% · +1.5 24h
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Polymarket · December 31 18%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 1%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Polymarket · Yes 78%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 12% · +1.0 24h
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 65%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 8% · -1.0 24h
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) Kalshi · Above 10 98% · -1.0 24h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Polymarket · December 31 6% · +1.0 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 1%
Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 25% · +0.5 24h
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Polymarket · December 31 18%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket · December 31 12% · -1.0 24h
Iran full airspace closure by...? Polymarket · December 31 31% · -1.5 24h
Saudi airspace closed by...? Polymarket · December 31 16%
The Money Talks — The US-Iran Diplomatic Calendar Probably Has Room for One More Meeting
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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