NATO Article 5 Will Not Be Invoked Before 2027
Source: Polymarket market “NATO article 5 before 2027?”
very unlikely (5%)
Leading outcome
Yes 5%
Very unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 66 days
24h move
0.2 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$15K
$283K all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
9
9 markets · mixed
Source markets for this story
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Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
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NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket · December 31 26%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 68% · +1.5 24h
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 60%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Polymarket · December 31 10% · -3.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Polymarket · December 31 78% · -2.0 24h
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 6% · +1.0 24h
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Polymarket · Yes 5%
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