Moscow Airspace Goes Dark as Diplomatic Hopes Collapse
Source: Polymarket market “Moscow air traffic suspended by...?”
virtually certain (100%)
Leading outcome
August 31 100%
Virtually certain · Rising · B · tracked 71 days
peak 99% (64d ago) · low 55% (70d ago)
probably not → virtually certain
24h move
▲
72.4 pts
August 31
Traded 24h
$17K
$48K all time
Resolves by
2026-08-31
Source markets
5
5 markets · mixed
Source markets for this story
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
Polymarket · October 19 86% · +3.0 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10%
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
Polymarket · October 18 100% · +15.4 24h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 68%
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