The Bank of Canada May Raise Rates in October
Source: Polymarket market “Bank of Canada Decision in October?”
25 bps increase: leaning yes (57%)
Leading outcome
25 bps increase 57%
Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 11 days
peak 84% (10d ago) · low 75%
virtually certain → leaning yes
24h move
▲
40.8 pts
25 bps increase
Traded 24h
$93K
$277K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-28
Source markets
2
2 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
25 bps increase
57%
▲
40.8
No Change
41%
▼
41.0
50+ bps increase
0%
0.1
25 bps decrease
0%
0.1
50+ bps decrease
0%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
Polymarket · 25 bps increase 57% · +40.8 24h
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
Kalshi · Hike 25bps 57% · +39.0 24h
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