Iran Oil Sanction Relief Is Unlikely Before November
Source: Polymarket market “US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?”
unlikely (25%)
Leading outcome
October 31 25%
Unlikely · Falling · B · tracked 74 days
peak 67% (73d ago) · low 3% (54d ago)
probably not → unlikely
6 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
2.0 pts
October 31
Traded 24h
$13K
$394K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-01
Where the money stands
October 31
25%
▼
2.0
September 30
1%
▼
1.7
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