July Core Inflation Looks Anchored at 0.2%
Source: Polymarket market “Core CPI MoM - July 2026”
0.2%: leaning yes (55%)
Leading outcome
0.2% 55%
Leaning yes · Rising · B
24h move
▲
6.6 pts
0.2%
Traded 24h
$12K
$136K all time
Resolves by
2026-08-12
in 1 day
Source markets
5
5 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
0.2%
55%
▲
6.6
0.1%
34%
▲
2.6
0.3%
5%
▼
12.3
≤0.0%
4%
▼
1.8
0.4%
3%
▲
2.1
0.5%
0%
0.1
Source markets for this story
CPI in July
Kalshi · Above -0.4% 99%
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
Kalshi · Above 3.0% 99%
July Inflation US - Annual
Polymarket · 3.4% 42% · +4.5 24h
July Inflation US - Monthly
Polymarket · ≥0.1% 62% · +1.0 24h
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
Polymarket · 0.2% 55% · +6.6 24h
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