Curiosities

Clarence Thomas Will Not Retire Before Mid-2027

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?”

very unlikely (6%)
Leading outcome December 31, 2026 6% Very unlikely · D
24h move ▼ 2.5 pts December 31, 2026
Traded 24h $10K $11K all time
Resolves by 2027-07-01

Where the money stands

December 31, 2026 6% ▼ 2.5
June 30, 2027 6% ▼ 44.5
September 30, 2026 6% 0.1
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Lindsay Clancy Is Unlikely to Be Convicted of Murder

probably not (34%)

A murder conviction remains the minority scenario, suggesting the defense's strategy — likely centered on mental state — is being taken seriously, though a sharp overnight move toward conviction signals the case is closer than it appeared.

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A GTA VI Trailer Is Dominating Netflix's Top Movie Slot

Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look: very likely (91%)

The fact that a video game preview is displacing films at the top of Netflix's chart says something pointed about where cultural gravity now sits — and about how much appetite exists for anything GTA VI-shaped, however slim the actual content.

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Curiosities

A Kanye West Russia Concert Is a Real — If Unlikely — Possibility by October

probably not (40%)

That real money is flowing on this question at all says something: the cultural boundary between Western celebrity and Putin's Russia, once unthinkable to cross, is now treated as a contingency worth pricing. The fact that it's a coin-flip-adjacent bet reflects genuine uncertainty about where Kanye's next provocation lands.

Updated 7:41 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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traded today $17K venue Polymarket grade D