Worldleaning Aleksandar Vučić

Serbia's Next Prime Minister Is Now a Genuine Coin Flip

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Next Prime Minister of Serbia?”

Aleksandar Vučić: a coin flip (52%)
Resolved The money put Aleksandar Vučić at 56% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Aleksandar Vučić 52% A coin flip · Falling · C · tracked 4 days peak 59% (2d ago) · low 34%
24h move ▼ 3.9 pts Aleksandar Vučić
Traded 24h $78K $184K all time
Resolves by 2028-06-30

Where the money stands

Aleksandar Vučić 52% ▼ 3.9
Ilija Srdanović 46% ▲ 5.0
Vladan Đokić 1% ▼ 2.1
Ana Brnabić 0% ▼ 2.3
Stefan Krkobabić 0% 0.3
Ivica Dačić 0% 0.1
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from World

World

The US-Iran Ceasefire Is Very Likely to Hold Through Late September

very likely (94%)

The truce is proving more durable than a fragile interim deal — but the broader picture is a frozen standoff, not a thaw: diplomacy remains stalled well into autumn, the blockade lingers, and enriched uranium transfers are essentially off the table.

Updated 4:35 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $172K markets read 16 venue Polymarket grade A a coin flip → very likely
World United Russia (ER) on track to win

United Russia Looks Likely to Dominate the Next Parliamentary Election

United Russia (ER): likely (82%)

Putin's party is on track to entrench its supermajority, with the Communist Party set to fill second place as a tame also-ran — leaving no credible opposition bloc in sight. The signal has been volatile enough to warrant watching, but the money has now priced a United Russia sweep of every region as more likely than not.

Updated 2:57 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $1.7M markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 51 days range 80% (4d ago) – 60% (49d ago) resolves in 2 days trending in today's news 3 tier changes
World leaning SPD

Germany's Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Race Is Now a Dead Heat Between SPD and AfD

SPD: a coin flip (50%)

What had been a likely SPD hold has collapsed to a coin flip, with AfD surging back into contention after trailing badly — a signal that the state's political ground is shifting fast and neither side can count on victory in September 2026.

Updated 10:53 AM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $419K markets read 6 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 23 days range 94% (15d ago) – 57% (0d ago) resolves in 2 days probably not → a coin flip 4 tier changes