World

Iran Full Airspace Closure This Year Is More Unlikely Than Not

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Iran full airspace closure by...?”

probably not (36%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 30% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31 36% Probably not · Rising · B · tracked 98 days peak 64% (94d ago) · low 18% (66d ago) 15 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 1.5 pts December 31
Traded 24h $73K $10.9M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 19 19 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31 36% ▲ 1.5
November 30 27% ▲ 3.0

Source markets for this story

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Polymarket · November 1 100%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Polymarket · March 31 63%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 16% · -1.0 24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 10% · -1.0 24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Polymarket · Yes 0%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31 34% · -3.0 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 4%
Iran leadership change by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 27% · -0.5 24h
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 36% · -9.5 24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Polymarket · Yes 6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Polymarket · December 31 12% · -2.0 24h
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...? Polymarket · December 31 39% · +3.5 24h
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...? Polymarket · December 31 28% · -15.5 24h
Iran full airspace closure by...? Polymarket · December 31 36% · +1.5 24h
Iran Nuke before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 4% · +0.6 24h
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31 32% · +4.5 24h
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Polymarket · December 31 2% · -2.0 24h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Polymarket · December 31 8% · +2.0 24h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 7% · +2.2 24h
The Money Talks — The US-Iran Diplomatic Calendar Probably Has Room for One More Meeting
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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