No Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal Before September
Source: Polymarket market “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?”
virtually impossible (1%)
Leading outcome
Yes 1%
Virtually impossible · B
24h move
0.1 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$12K
$260K all time
Resolves by
2026-08-31
Source markets
8
8 markets · mixed
Source markets for this story
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Polymarket · United Russia (ER) 74% · +3.0 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 12%
Ukraine coup attempt by...?
Polymarket · December 31 8% · +1.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31 26% · -1.0 24h
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2026 87%
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
Polymarket · December 31 8% · +1.5 24h
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Polymarket · Yes 1%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 11% · +0.5 24h
Get an alert when Russia Ukraine War moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.