World

Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks This Year Are Still Possible, but Slipping

Source: Polymarket market “Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?”

leaning yes (67%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 46% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31 67% Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 58 days peak 74% (18d ago) · low 46% (25d ago) 4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 2.0 pts December 31
Traded 24h $59K $977K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31 67% ▼ 2.0
November 30 56% ▼ 4.0
October 31 42% ▼ 5.0
October 15 18% ▼ 7.5
September 30 1% ▼ 3.1

Source markets for this story

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 67% · -2.0 24h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10%
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 28% · -1.0 24h
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? Polymarket · Druzkhivka 34% · -5.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page