Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks This Year Are Still Possible, but Slipping
Source: Polymarket market “Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?”
leaning yes (67%)
Leading outcome
December 31 67%
Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 58 days
peak 74% (18d ago) · low 46% (25d ago)
4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
2.0 pts
December 31
Traded 24h
$59K
$977K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Source markets
4
4 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
December 31
67%
▼
2.0
November 30
56%
▼
4.0
October 31
42%
▼
5.0
October 15
18%
▼
7.5
September 30
1%
▼
3.1
Source markets for this story
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
Polymarket · December 31 67% · -2.0 24h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket · December 31 28% · -1.0 24h
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Polymarket · Druzkhivka 34% · -5.0 24h
Get an alert when Russia Ukraine War moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.