U.S.Julia Letlow (R) on track to win

Julia Letlow Is Very Likely to Hold Louisiana for the GOP

Source: Polymarket market “Louisiana Senate Election Winner”

Julia Letlow (R): very likely (90%)
Leading outcome Julia Letlow (R) 90% Very likely · A venues disagree 3.5pp
24h move ▲ 2.0 pts Julia Letlow (R)
Traded 24h $38K $109K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04 in 5 days
Source markets 33 33 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Julia Letlow (R) 90% ▲ 2.0
Jamie Davis (D) 10% ▼ 2.0

Source markets for this story

Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 70% · +1.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 71% · +1.5 24h
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 75% · +4.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi · Adam Hamilton 52% · +4.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 67% · +5.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 78% · +5.0 24h
South Carolina Senate winner? Kalshi · Darline Graham 73% · +2.0 24h
Iowa Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 54% · +1.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 74% · +3.0 24h
Florida Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Moody 90%
Alaska Senate winner? Kalshi · Democratic party 69% · +1.0 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 59% · +4.0 24h
Mississippi Senate winner? Kalshi · Cindy Hyde-Smith 89%
Kansas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Adam Hamilton (D) 54% · +6.5 24h
Nebraska Senate winner? Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 68% · -2.0 24h
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 68% · -3.0 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 74% · +2.5 24h
Montana Senate winner? Kalshi · Kurt Alme 88% · -1.0 24h
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 69% · +1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 90%
New Hampshire Senate winner? Kalshi · Chris Pappas 92% · +1.7 24h
Maine Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 68% · +5.0 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory Kalshi · James Talarico, 1+ pts 64% · -3.0 24h
Michigan Senate margin of victory Kalshi · El-Sayed, 1+ pts 74% · +5.0 24h
Ohio Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 70% · +1.5 24h
Iowa Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 54% · -0.5 24h
Texas Governor-Senate combo Kalshi · Greg Abbott and James Talarico win 41% · +2.0 24h
Alaska Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Mary Peltola 70% · -1.0 24h
Alaska Senate winner? (Person) Kalshi · Mary Peltola 67% · -3.0 24h
Louisiana Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Julia Letlow (R) 90% · +2.0 24h
Mississippi Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 86%
Montana Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Kurt Alme (R) 89% · -1.5 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 92%
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