U.S.odds favor Greg Abbott (R)

Greg Abbott Holds Texas, but Gina Hinojosa Is Closing Fast

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Texas Governor Election Winner”

Greg Abbott (R): leaning yes (64%)
Resolved The money put Greg Abbott (R) at 86% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Greg Abbott (R) 64% Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 57 days peak 86% (56d ago) · low 68% 3 tier changes over tracking period venues disagree 19.6pp
24h move ▼ 9.2 pts Greg Abbott (R)
Traded 24h $81K $722K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04
Source markets 70 70 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Greg Abbott (R) 64% ▼ 9.2
Gina Hinojosa (D) 34% ▲ 8.5

Source markets for this story

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · Democrats sweep 67% · +2.0 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 66% · +3.0 24h
Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 68% · +4.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 92% · +1.1 24h
California Governor winner? (Person) Kalshi · Xavier Becerra 97% · +0.9 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 68% · +4.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 92% · +1.0 24h
Texas Governor winner? Kalshi · Greg Abbott 66% · -7.0 24h
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 70% · +5.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 67% · +2.0 24h
Georgia Governor winner? Kalshi · Keisha Lance Bottoms 57% · +5.0 24h
Ohio Governor winner? Kalshi · Amy Acton 78% · +1.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · Above 52 39% · +2.0 24h
Nebraska Senate winner? Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 73% · +2.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 87% · +1.0 24h
Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi · Karen Bass 56%
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 70% · +1.0 24h
TX-15 House winner? Kalshi · Bobby Pulido 88% · +3.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 66% · +2.0 24h
Ohio Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Amy Acton (D) 78%
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 65% · +1.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 48 21%
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 71% · -2.1 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 57% · +3.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi · Roger Marshall 62% · +1.0 24h
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 98% · -3.0 24h
New York Governor winner? Kalshi · Kathy Hochul 95%
Florida Governor winner? Kalshi · Byron Donalds 79% · -1.0 24h
Nevada Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Aaron Ford (D) 66% · +7.0 24h
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms? Polymarket · Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 60% · +1.1 24h
FL-14 House winner? Kalshi · Kathy Castor 65% · -3.0 24h
Alaska Senate winner? Kalshi · Democratic party 75% · -1.0 24h
Florida Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Moody 89% · -1.7 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 62% · +1.0 24h
South Carolina Senate winner? Kalshi · Darline Graham 83%
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) Kalshi · Democrats, 8 to 10% 25% · -1.0 24h
New York Attorney General winner? Kalshi · Letitia James 92%
Iowa Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 58% · -1.0 24h
Idaho Senate winner? Kalshi · Jim Risch 94%
Blue wave in 2026? Kalshi · Yes 82% · -1.0 24h
NC-11 House winner? Kalshi · Jamie Ager 86% · +4.0 24h
Texas Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Greg Abbott (R) 64% · -9.2 24h
MT-01 House winner? Kalshi · Aaron Flint 54% · -10.0 24h
Nevada Governor winner? Kalshi · Aaron Ford 66% · +9.0 24h
Ohio Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 72% · +7.5 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Ken Paxton, 1+ pts 29% · -7.0 24h
MN-05 House winner? Kalshi · Ilhan Omar 93% · +0.8 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory Kalshi · James Talarico, 1+ pts 62% · +3.0 24h
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms? Polymarket · Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 62% · -0.6 24h
MO-02 House winner? Kalshi · Ann Wagner 61% · -14.0 24h
South Dakota Senate winner? Kalshi · Mike Rounds 94% · +1.8 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70%
Alaska Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 82% · +3.5 24h
Florida Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Byron Donalds (R) 80% · -0.5 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Polymarket · ≤47 40% · +1.0 24h
Los Angeles Mayoral Election Polymarket · Karen Bass 56% · +2.0 24h
VA-05 House Election Winner Polymarket · John McGuire (R) 64% · -1.5 24h
Mississippi Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 88% · -0.5 24h
California Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 96%
KY-06 House Election Winner Polymarket · Ralph Alvarado (R) 59% · -6.5 24h
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory Polymarket · Hinson 0-3% 33% · +10.0 24h
Alaska Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Mary Peltola 74% · +1.0 24h
Iowa Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory Polymarket · Rogers 0-3% 26% · +10.0 24h
FL-14 House Election Winner Polymarket · Kathy Castor (D) 66% · -3.5 24h
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? Polymarket · ↓ 7% 49% · +10.5 24h
AL-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Rhett Marques (R) 72% · +1.5 24h
OH-15 House Election Winner Polymarket · Don Leonard (D) 52% · +25.5 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 87% · -0.5 24h
South Carolina Senate Election: Greenville County Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 88% · +16.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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