Curiosities

A Valve or Plumbing Failure Destroyed the Blue Origin New Glenn

Source: Polymarket market “What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?”

virtually certain (98%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put Valve or Plumbing Failure at 98% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Valve or Plumbing Failure 98% Virtually certain · D · tracked 74 days probably not → virtually certain
24h move ▲ 63.4 pts Valve or Plumbing Failure
Traded 24h $16K $17K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31

Where the money stands

Valve or Plumbing Failure 98% ▲ 63.4
Ground Support Equipment Failure 0% ▼ 42.8
Other 0% ▼ 27.8
No Cause Announced By December 31 0% ▼ 27.1
Engine Failure 0% ▼ 34.0
Propellant Leak 0% ▼ 45.5
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page