World

PAN Is Likely to Finish Second in Mexico's 2027 Legislative Election

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?”

Leading outcome PAN 86% Likely · D
24h move ▲ 15.0 pts PAN
Traded 24h $13K $63K all time
Resolves by 2027-06-06

Where the money stands

PAN 86% ▲ 15.0
PRI 8% ▼ 4.9
PVEM 6% ▼ 1.5
PT 1% ▲ 0.7
MC 1% 0.2
Morena 0% 0.3
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from World

December 31 96% Near-certain ↑ Rising ▲ 1.7 $1.1M today 27 markets A

Iran's Blockade Ends Well Before Year's End — But the Regime Survives It

A ceasefire holds and the blockade lifts, yet Hormuz traffic remains effectively paralyzed through summer — meaning the economic chokepoint outlasts the formal hostilities. The real story is durability: with a leadership change priced at only one-in-three odds, the Islamic Republic absorbs the military defeat without collapsing.

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 66% Leaning ▲ 2.0 $626K today 2 markets B

Lula Increasingly Favored to Win Brazil's 2026 Election

The opposition remains fractured, with Flávio Bolsonaro holding a distant second and no challenger consolidating the anti-Lula vote — that fragmentation is Lula's greatest structural asset heading into October.

December 31 26% Contested ▲ 2.0 $55K today 6 markets B

A NATO-Russia Military Clash This Year Remains a Tail Risk

The absence of a credible near-term trigger is the real story — money has quietly shifted probability away from earlier windows, suggesting no specific flashpoint is visible on the horizon, even as the longer-dated risk stays stubbornly alive.