FinanceNo IPO before January 2027 on track to win

Oura's IPO Is Likely Off Before 2027

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Oura IPO Closing Market Cap”

No IPO before January 2027: likely (83%)
Resolved The money put $10B–$12.5B at 20% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome No IPO before January 2027 83% Likely · Stable · C · tracked 56 days peak 46% (29d ago) · low 14% (36d ago) virtually impossible → likely 3 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 83.0 pts No IPO before January 2027
Traded 24h $71K $563K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01

Where the money stands

No IPO before January 2027 83% ▲ 83.0
$15B–$17.5B 5% ▼ 31.2
$20B+ 5% ▼ 8.9
<$7.5B 3% ▲ 1.8
$7.5B–$10B 2% ▲ 0.6
$17.5B–$20B 2% ▼ 14.9
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance odds favor No change

The Fed's October Decision Is Now a Coin Flip Between a Hold and a Hike

No change: a coin flip (52%)

What had looked likely to be a hold just weeks ago is now genuinely uncertain — a rate hike in October is nearly as probable as a pause, though the year as a whole still points strongly toward at least one hike, with December carrying the heavier weight.

Updated 2:52 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $1.3M markets read 9 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 63 days range 72% (33d ago) – 50% (12d ago) probably not → leaning yes 4 tier changes
Finance

10-Year Treasury Yields Are Very Likely to Hit 5.3% Before 2027

very likely (91%)

The Fed hiking cycle and the October coin-flip combine into a clear signal: bond markets are pricing in sustained pressure at the long end, with a non-trivial chance yields push well past 5.3% — the 5.7% outcome has gained notable ground — though this market has swung violently enough that the current read should be held loosely.

Updated 2:52 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $42K venue Polymarket grade D tracked 61 days range 98% (16d ago) – 40% (21d ago) likely → very likely 15 tier changes
Finance

Crude Oil Is Unlikely to Set a New All-Time High This Year

unlikely (12%)

WTI is pricing firmly in the low-to-mid $90s — strong enough to squeeze consumers and complicate Fed math, but far short of the levels needed to challenge the all-time high. The record looks safe through year-end, barring a shock that has so far found no traction.

Updated 2:44 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $90K markets read 10 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 62 days range 20% (19d ago) – 10% (1d ago) 11 tier changes