World

Russia Is Increasingly Expected to Capture Orikhiv, Possibly by Spring

Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?”

leaning yes (61%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 32% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome June 30, 2027 61% Leaning yes · Rising · B · tracked 69 days peak 55% · low 26% (67d ago)
24h move ▲ 0.5 pts June 30, 2027
Traded 24h $46K $451K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 8 8 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

June 30, 2027 61% ▲ 0.5
March 31, 2027 38% ▲ 4.0
December 31 11% ▼ 1.0

Source markets for this story

Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10% · +1.0 24h
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 61% · +0.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 32% · +3.0 24h
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 26%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31 8% · -1.0 24h
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? Polymarket · Ursula von der Leyen 42% · -4.5 24h
Will Russia target Kyiv on...? Polymarket · October 20 90% · +7.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 68%
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