Russia Is Increasingly Expected to Capture Orikhiv, Possibly by Spring
Source: Polymarket market “Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?”
leaning yes (61%)
Leading outcome
June 30, 2027 61%
Leaning yes · Rising · B · tracked 69 days
peak 55% · low 26% (67d ago)
24h move
▲
0.5 pts
June 30, 2027
Traded 24h
$46K
$451K all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
8
8 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
June 30, 2027
61%
▲
0.5
March 31, 2027
38%
▲
4.0
December 31
11%
▼
1.0
Source markets for this story
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10% · +1.0 24h
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 61% · +0.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
Polymarket · December 31 32% · +3.0 24h
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket · December 31 26%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Polymarket · December 31 8% · -1.0 24h
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Polymarket · Ursula von der Leyen 42% · -4.5 24h
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
Polymarket · October 20 90% · +7.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket · December 31, 2027 68%
Get an alert when Russia Ukraine War moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.