WorldSweden Democrats (SD) on track to win

Sweden Democrats Are Likely to Finish Second in the 2026 Parliamentary Election

Source: Polymarket market “Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place”

Sweden Democrats (SD): likely (81%)
Leading outcome Sweden Democrats (SD) 81% Likely · Stable · C · tracked 8 days peak 82% (4d ago) · low 75% (7d ago)
24h move ▲ 2.5 pts Sweden Democrats (SD)
Traded 24h $24K $123K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-13 in 4 days

Where the money stands

Sweden Democrats (SD) 81% ▲ 2.5
Moderate Party (M) 18% ▼ 3.5
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 0% 0.1
Centre Party (C) 0% 0.0
Left Party (V) 0% 0.0
Christian Democrats (KD) 0% 0.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page