World

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?”

virtually impossible (0%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 30% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 0% Virtually impossible · Stable · B · tracked 35 days peak 32% (20d ago) · low 0% (8d ago) unlikely → virtually impossible 4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 17.9 pts Yes
Traded 24h $833K $1.4M all time
Resolves by 2026-09-06
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Israel and Lebanon Are Virtually Certain to Hold Diplomatic Talks Before September 25

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United Russia (ER): likely (76%)

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US-Iran Diplomatic Talks This Year Remain an Open Question

probably not (30%)

A ceasefire is all but certain, but who sits across the table — and whether formal talks happen at all — is genuinely unresolved; with Hormuz still disrupted and blockade-end odds at 61%, the ceasefire is holding without producing real diplomacy.

Updated 8:28 AM ET ▼ down overnight
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