World

Brazil's Presidential Race Goes to a Second Round

By Priced In News Staff

very unlikely (6%)

Leading outcome Yes 6% Very unlikely · Falling · B

24h move ▲ 1.0 pts Yes

Traded 24h $17K $207K all time

Resolves by 2026-10-04

Source markets for this story

Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 56%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 86% · -2.0 24h

Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 55% · -1.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place Polymarket · Augusto Cury 50% · -2.8 24h

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Polymarket · Yes 6% · +1.0 24h

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba Polymarket · Lula 93% · -3.7 24h

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? Polymarket · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 97% · +0.7 24h