Finance

A Crude Oil All-Time High by Early 2027 Is Unlikely

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Crude Oil all time high by...?”

unlikely (21%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 10% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome March 31, 2027 21% Unlikely · Stable · A · tracked 78 days peak 28% (7d ago) · low 10% (8d ago) 15 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 2.5 pts March 31, 2027
Traded 24h $45K $4.9M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

March 31, 2027 21% ▲ 2.5
December 31 12% ▲ 0.5

Source markets for this story

US gas prices tomorrow Kalshi · Above 4.2950 99%
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? Polymarket · ↓ $95 94%
US gas prices this week Kalshi · Above 4.1600 99%
Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026? Kalshi · Above 2.50 99%
Crude Oil all time high by...? Polymarket · March 31, 2027 21% · +2.5 24h
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026? Polymarket · ↓ $95 72%
US imports Russian diesel by...? Polymarket · November 30 28% · -17.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance odds favor No change

The Fed Will Pause in October, Then Hike in December

No change: leaning yes (72%)

A hold next month is no longer the whole story — a December hike is priced at 78% and the broader cycle points to at least one more increase this year, with cuts not entering the picture until mid-2027 at the earliest. The October pause, if it comes, is a breath, not a pivot.

Updated 2:39 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $5.3M markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 79 days range 84% (7d ago) – 50% (28d ago) likely → leaning yes 6 tier changes
Finance

US Inflation Will Almost Certainly Exceed 3.1% Through November

virtually certain (98%)

What had been a likely call is now virtually certain: inflation running above 3% deep into late 2026 forecloses any Fed pivot this year and keeps pressure on household budgets well into the new year, with the higher end of the range — above 3.5% — surging sharply as a live scenario.

Updated 8:20 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $53K venue Kalshi grade C likely → virtually certain
Finance leaning Decrease

The Bank of Israel's October Rate Decision Is a Dead Heat

Decrease: a coin flip (48%)

What had been a near-certain hold has become a genuine toss-up in a single session, signaling that new information — likely on the inflation or ceasefire front — has fundamentally reopened the debate inside the central bank, with a cut now as plausible as no change.

Updated 8:20 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $19K venue Polymarket grade D resolves in 5 days very likely → a coin flip