New Zealand's Green Party Is Very Likely to Finish Third in 2026
Source: Polymarket market “New Zealand Election: 3rd Place”
Green Party: very likely (90%)
Leading outcome
Green Party 90%
Very likely · Falling · D
peak 97% (2d ago) · low 90% (1d ago)
likely → very likely
24h move
▼
4.0 pts
Green Party
Traded 24h
$18K
$59K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-08
in 1 day
Where the money stands
Green Party
90%
▼
4.0
New Zealand First Party
8%
▲
5.1
ACT New Zealand
3%
▲
0.7
National Party
0%
0.1
Labour Party
0%
0.0
Te Pāti Māori
0%
0.0
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