Likud Is Likely to Win at Least 20 Seats in the Israeli Election
Source: Polymarket market “Israel Election: Likud # of seats?”
20+ Likud seats: likely (79%)
Leading outcome
20+ Likud seats 79%
Likely · Stable · B · tracked 9 days
leaning yes → likely
24h move
▼
2.0 pts
20+ Likud seats
Traded 24h
$30K
$179K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-27
Source markets
6
6 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
20-24
40%
▲
6.0
25-29
24%
▼
4.0
<20
21%
▲
5.3
30-34
10%
▼
3.0
35+
4%
▼
0.9
Source markets for this story
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 51% · +0.5 24h
Israel closes its airspace by...?
Polymarket · September 30 99%
Netanyahu out by...?
Polymarket · December 31 46% · -6.0 24h
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Polymarket · 20+ Likud seats 79% · -2.0 24h
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Polymarket · 4 77% · +1.2 24h
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
Polymarket · December 31 20% · -1.0 24h
The Money Talks —
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