Finance

OpenAI Leads a Fragmented AI Race With No Clear Winner in Sight

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?”

probably not (32%)
Leading outcome OpenAI 32% Probably not · B
24h move ▲ 0.5 pts OpenAI
Traded 24h $12K $111K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 5 5 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

OpenAI 32% ▲ 0.5
Google 20% 0.0
DeepSeek 16% ▲ 8.0
Meta 14% ▼ 2.0
Alibaba 12% 0.0
xAI 12% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Claude 66% · +1.4 24h
Which company has best AI model end of August? Polymarket · Anthropic 94% · -1.0 24h
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 66%
Which company has the best AI model end of September? Polymarket · Anthropic 84%
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? Polymarket · OpenAI 32% · +0.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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