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A U.S. Invasion of Venezuela Is Very Unlikely Before Year-End 2026

Source: Polymarket market “Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?”

very unlikely (4%)
Leading outcome December 31 4% Very unlikely · D
24h move 0.4 pts December 31
Traded 24h $15K $14.2M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
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