U.S.odds favor Democratic

Democrats Narrowly Favor to Win the 2028 Presidential Election

Source: Polymarket market “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?”

Democratic: leaning yes (58%)
Leading outcome Democratic 58% Leaning yes · C
24h move ▼ 2.0 pts Democratic
Traded 24h $18K $2.0M all time
Resolves by 2028-11-07
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Democratic 58% ▼ 2.0
Republican 40% ▲ 2.0

Source markets for this story

2028 Democratic presidential nominee Kalshi · Gavin Newsom 17%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · Gavin Newsom 17%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Polymarket · JD Vance 22%
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Kalshi · J.D. Vance 20% · +1.0 24h
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · J.D. Vance 44%
2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi · J.D. Vance 41% · -1.0 24h
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? Polymarket · Democratic 58% · -2.0 24h
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