U.S.odds favor Democratic

Democrats Are Favored to Win the 2028 Presidential Election

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?”

Democratic: leaning yes (64%)
Resolved The money put Democratic at 58% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Democratic 64% Leaning yes · Stable · C · tracked 61 days peak 66% (25d ago) · low 57% (59d ago) venues disagree 29.5pp
24h move 0.0 pts Democratic
Traded 24h $15K $2.5M all time
Resolves by 2028-11-08
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Democratic 64% 0.0
Republican 34% 0.0

Source markets for this story

2028 Democratic presidential nominee Kalshi · Jon Ossoff 17%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Polymarket · Yes 3%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · J.D. Vance 48%
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Kalshi · J.D. Vance 20%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Polymarket · JD Vance 20%
2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi · J.D. Vance 42% · -2.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Updated 10:10 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $124K venue Kalshi grade C tracked 58 days range 98% (56d ago) – 16% (16d ago) 9 tier changes