U.S.odds favor Democratic Party

Democrats Increasingly Favored to Retake the Senate

Source: Polymarket market “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”

Democratic Party: leaning yes (64%)
Resolved The money put Democratic Party at 50% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Democratic Party 64% Leaning yes · Stable · C · tracked 69 days peak 68% (2d ago) · low 50% (44d ago) 2 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▼ 1.0 pts Democratic Party
Traded 24h $76K $5.9M all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04

Where the money stands

Democratic Party 64% ▼ 1.0
Republican Party 36% ▲ 1.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page