World

Ukraine's Chances of Retaking Uspenivka Are Now a Coin Flip

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?”

probably not (34%)
Leading outcome December 31 34% Probably not · Rising · B · tracked 75 days peak 45% · low 32% (72d ago)
24h move ▼ 10.0 pts December 31
Traded 24h $62K $277K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Source markets for this story

NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 18% · +2.0 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70% · -0.5 24h
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 54% · +1.0 24h
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...? Polymarket · December 31 34% · -10.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 84% · -3.5 24h
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 62% · +1.5 24h
The Money Talks — Russia's Capture of Dobropillia Is Very Likely a Matter of When, Not Whether
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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A NATO-Russia Military Clash This Year Is Now Unlikely

unlikely (18%)

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Updated 7:53 PM ET ▼ down sharply overnight
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