Tampa Bay Rays Lead the American League Championship Race as Cleveland Surges
Source: Polymarket market “MLB: 2026 American League Champion”
Tampa Bay Rays: leaning yes (62%)
Leading outcome
Tampa Bay Rays 62%
Leaning yes · Stable · A · tracked 67 days
peak 67% (1d ago) · low 22% (41d ago)
a coin flip → leaning yes
4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▼
2.5 pts
Tampa Bay Rays
Traded 24h
$99K
$4.7M all time
Resolves by
2026-12-01
Source markets
16
16 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Tampa Bay Rays
62%
▼
2.5
Cleveland Guardians
37%
▲
17.3
Source markets for this story
Game 1: Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee
Kalshi · Los Angeles D 51% · +1.0 24h
Pro Baseball Champion
Kalshi · Los Angeles D 43%
Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Home Runs
Kalshi · Shohei Ohtani: 1+ 16% · -1.0 24h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket · Los Angeles Dodgers O/U 1.5 74% · -1.5 24h
American League Champion
Kalshi · Tampa Bay 63% · -1.0 24h
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Polymarket · Los Angeles Dodgers 43% · -0.5 24h
National League Champion
Kalshi · Los Angeles D 61%
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Polymarket · Tampa Bay Rays 62% · -2.5 24h
Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Total Bases
Kalshi · Jackson Chourio: 2+ 38% · -1.0 24h
Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Hits
Kalshi · Jackson Chourio: 1+ 64%
Game 1: Cleveland vs Tampa Bay
Kalshi · Tampa Bay 60%
Pro Baseball Championship Series Matchup
Kalshi · Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles D 39% · -1.0 24h
Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Hits + Runs + RBIs
Kalshi · Jackson Chourio: 1+ 68% · -3.0 24h
Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner
Kalshi · Shohei Ohtani 9% · +1.5 24h
Game 2: Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee
Kalshi · Los Angeles D 55% · +3.0 24h
MLB: 2026 National League Champion
Polymarket · Los Angeles Dodgers 60%
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