Tampa Bay Rays Favor the 2026 American League Pennant With Cleveland Closing In
Source: Polymarket market “MLB: 2026 American League Champion”
Tampa Bay Rays: leaning yes (65%)
Leading outcome
Tampa Bay Rays 65%
Leaning yes · Stable · A · tracked 65 days
peak 65% · low 22% (39d ago)
likely → leaning yes
4 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
2.1 pts
Tampa Bay Rays
Traded 24h
$42K
$4.6M all time
Resolves by
2026-12-01
Source markets
12
12 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Tampa Bay Rays
65%
▲
2.1
Cleveland Guardians
21%
▲
9.2
Chicago White Sox
14%
▼
11.5
Source markets for this story
Pro Baseball Champion
Kalshi · Los Angeles D 43% · -0.8 24h
American League Champion
Kalshi · Tampa Bay 63% · +1.0 24h
Series Winner: Chicago WS vs Cleveland
Kalshi · Cleveland 56% · +26.0 24h
Game 5: Chicago WS vs Cleveland
Kalshi · Cleveland 57%
Game 1: Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee
Kalshi · Los Angeles D 51%
National League Champion
Kalshi · Los Angeles D 61% · +2.0 24h
Pro Baseball Championship Series Matchup
Kalshi · Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles D 38% · -0.6 24h
Pro Baseball ALCS Qualifiers
Kalshi · Cleveland 56% · +23.0 24h
Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP Winner
Kalshi · Jackson Chourio 11% · +3.7 24h
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Polymarket · Tampa Bay Rays 65% · +2.1 24h
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Polymarket · Los Angeles Dodgers 42% · -0.5 24h
MLB: 2026 National League Champion
Polymarket · Los Angeles Dodgers 60% · -2.0 24h
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