Pat Fallon Is Very Likely to Hold TX-04 for Republicans
Source: Polymarket market “TX-04 House Election Winner”
Pat Fallon (R): very likely (96%)
Leading outcome
Pat Fallon (R) 96%
Very likely · C
virtually certain → very likely
24h move
▲
0.5 pts
Pat Fallon (R)
Traded 24h
$23K
$79K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Where the money stands
Pat Fallon (R)
96%
▲
0.5
Jason Pearce (D)
1%
▼
3.5
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.