Jenny Costa Honeycutt Holds a Narrow Lead in South Carolina's First District
Source: Polymarket market “SC-01 House Election Winner”
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R): leaning yes (59%)
Leading outcome
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 59%
Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 15 days
peak 70% (14d ago) · low 61%
venues disagree 23.9pp
24h move
▼
7.0 pts
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R)
Traded 24h
$23K
$125K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Source markets
65
65 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R)
59%
▼
7.0
Nancy Lacore (D)
41%
▲
6.0
Source markets for this story
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 68%
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 66% · -2.0 24h
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · Democrats sweep 67% · -1.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 91%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 68% · -1.0 24h
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket · J.D. Vance 44%
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 67% · -1.0 24h
Texas Governor winner?
Kalshi · Greg Abbott 73% · +9.0 24h
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi · Jon Ossoff 16%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 92%
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 65% · -1.0 24h
Ohio Governor winner?
Kalshi · Amy Acton 82% · +2.0 24h
2028 Republican presidential nominee
Kalshi · J.D. Vance 42%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · +0.9 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · Above 52 38% · -1.0 24h
South Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · Darline Graham 79% · -2.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 69%
Florida Governor winner?
Kalshi · Byron Donalds 82% · +3.0 24h
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 70% · -2.0 24h
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Kalshi · Anna Kelly 20% · +3.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 48 22% · +1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 87%
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Kalshi · Nithya Raman 55% · +4.0 24h
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Kalshi · J.D. Vance 21%
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi · Democrats, 8 to 10% 27% · +2.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Roger Marshall 62%
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 98% · -1.7 24h
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket · JD Vance 20%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Kalshi · Below 53 60% · -2.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 66% · -1.0 24h
Blue wave in 2026?
Kalshi · Yes 85% · +2.0 24h
NC-01 House winner?
Kalshi · Don Davis 82% · +6.0 24h
Florida Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Moody 92% · +1.6 24h
Nebraska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 77% · +3.0 24h
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 53% · -4.0 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · James Talarico, 1+ pts 59% · -3.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72% · +1.5 24h
FL-25 House winner?
Kalshi · Jared Moskowitz 85% · -3.0 24h
TX-23 House winner?
Kalshi · Brandon Herrera 62% · -7.0 24h
Iowa Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 59%
Georgia Governor winner?
Kalshi · Keisha Lance Bottoms 60% · -1.0 24h
New York Attorney General winner?
Kalshi · Letitia James 92%
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Polymarket · Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 65% · +3.8 24h
Ohio Senate winner?
Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 69%
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · ≤47 43% · +0.5 24h
Arizona Governor winner?
Kalshi · Katie Hobbs 92%
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · Ken Paxton, 1+ pts 32% · +2.0 24h
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Polymarket · Nithya Raman 52% · -0.9 24h
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Polymarket · Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 67% · +2.2 24h
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Polymarket · Chiang Wan-an 63% · +0.5 24h
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 90% · +1.1 24h
Texas Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Greg Abbott (R) 72% · +7.3 24h
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · -0.5 24h
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Amy Acton (D) 82% · +2.0 24h
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 70%
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Aaron Ford (D) 68% · +1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 87% · -1.5 24h
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Jim Risch (R) 97% · +0.8 24h
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 88%
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Polymarket · No Hormuz Agreement 99% · +1.7 24h
Maine Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 67% · +0.5 24h
Next Press Secretary?
Polymarket · Anna Kelly 22% · +5.0 24h
TX-35 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Johnny Garcia (D) 66% · +1.5 24h
SC-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 59% · -7.0 24h
California Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 97%
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