David Joyce Is Very Likely to Hold OH-14 for Republicans
Source: Polymarket market “OH-14 House Election Winner”
David Joyce (R): very likely (96%)
Leading outcome
David Joyce (R) 96%
Very likely · B · tracked 5 days
virtually certain → very likely
venues disagree 26.5pp
24h move
▲
0.9 pts
David Joyce (R)
Traded 24h
$14K
$73K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Source markets
30
30 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
David Joyce (R)
96%
▲
0.9
Maria Jukic (D)
3%
▼
1.6
Source markets for this story
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 64% · +1.0 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 62%
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 90%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · Democrats sweep 61% · +1.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 68% · +1.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 62% · -1.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 62% · +2.0 24h
Texas Governor winner?
Kalshi · Greg Abbott 81%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 48 18% · +2.0 24h
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Kalshi · Nithya Raman 52%
Florida Governor winner?
Kalshi · Byron Donalds 78%
Blue wave in 2026?
Kalshi · Yes 85% · -1.0 24h
South Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · Darline Graham 86%
New York Attorney General winner?
Kalshi · Letitia James 90% · +4.3 24h
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Roger Marshall 62%
Massachusetts Governor winner?
Kalshi · Maura Healey 94%
Iowa Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 57%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 64% · +1.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 90%
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 57% · -1.0 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · Ken Paxton, 1+ pts 36% · +1.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · Above 52 36% · +1.0 24h
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 76% · -0.7 24h
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Mary Peltola 72%
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 62%
OH-14 House Election Winner
Polymarket · David Joyce (R) 96% · +0.9 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · ≤47 38%
Florida Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Byron Donalds (R) 78% · +1.0 24h
Texas Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Greg Abbott (R) 80%
WI-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Scott Fitzgerald (R) 96% · +1.0 24h
The Money Talks —
The House Is Already Slipping Away From Republicans
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