Langworthy Is Very Likely to Hold NY-23 for Republicans
Source: Polymarket market “NY-23 House Election Winner”
Nick Langworthy (R): very likely (95%)
Leading outcome
Nick Langworthy (R) 95%
Very likely · B
venues disagree 26.5pp
24h move
0.4 pts
Nick Langworthy (R)
Traded 24h
$18K
$52K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Source markets
23
23 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Nick Langworthy (R)
95%
0.4
Aaron Gies (D)
2%
▼
1.7
Source markets for this story
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 64% · +4.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 90%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 62%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · Democrats sweep 60%
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 62% · +2.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 68%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 48 18%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 90%
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 62%
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 75% · -3.1 24h
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 87%
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 57%
South Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · Darline Graham 85% · -1.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Roger Marshall 62% · -1.0 24h
Blue wave in 2026?
Kalshi · Yes 81% · -5.0 24h
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi · Democrats, 8 to 10% 26%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 64%
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70% · +1.5 24h
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Mary Peltola 72% · -1.0 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 62% · +1.0 24h
NY-23 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Nick Langworthy (R) 95%
GA-11 House Election Winner
Polymarket · John Cowan (R) 96% · -1.1 24h
OH-14 House Election Winner
Polymarket · David Joyce (R) 95% · -0.7 24h
The Money Talks —
The House Is Already Slipping Away From Republicans
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