U.S.Rob Menendez (D) on track to win

Rob Menendez Is Very Likely to Hold NJ-08 for Democrats

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “NJ-08 House Election Winner”

Rob Menendez (D): very likely (95%)

Leading outcome Rob Menendez (D) 95% Very likely · A

24h move 0.0 pts Rob Menendez (D)

Traded 24h $30K $49K all time

Resolves by 2026-11-04

Source markets 54 54 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Rob Menendez (D) 95% 0.0

Republican Party 3% ▼ 0.9

Source markets for this story

Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 89% · -2.0 24h

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · Democrats sweep 61% · -4.0 24h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 64% · -1.0 24h

Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 66%

Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 90% · -2.0 24h

Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 58%

Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 62% · -3.0 24h

Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 70% · -1.0 24h

Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 66% · +1.0 24h

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? Kalshi · Anna Kelly 23% · +1.0 24h

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · Above 52 38%

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 48 17% · -4.0 24h

Iowa Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 56% · +1.0 24h

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 95% · -4.4 24h

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? Kalshi · 38.4% 41%

Iowa Governor winner? Kalshi · Rob Sand 88%

Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi · Roger Marshall 64%

Blue wave in 2026? Kalshi · Yes 87% · +1.0 24h

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) Kalshi · Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%

What will Trump say during his rally in New York? Kalshi · Transgender 97% · +3.0 24h

Texas Governor winner? Kalshi · Greg Abbott 74% · +2.0 24h

TX-35 House winner? Kalshi · Johnny C. Garcia 61% · -1.0 24h

Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72% · -1.0 24h

Florida Governor winner? Kalshi · Byron Donalds 79% · +1.0 24h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 64% · -1.0 24h

South Carolina Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 84% · +1.0 24h

Alaska Senate winner? Kalshi · Democratic party 76%

What will Trump say this week? Kalshi · Kamala 99%

Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 49%

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? Kalshi · Yes 34% · +1.0 24h

Michigan Senate winner? (Person) Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 71% · -1.0 24h

Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi · Nithya Raman 58% · -1.0 24h

New Hampshire Senate winner? Kalshi · Chris Pappas 89%

Vermont Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Phil Scott (R) 74% · -3.0 24h

IA-01 House winner? Kalshi · Christina Bohannan 87% · +3.0 24h

Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 86% · -1.0 24h

Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 63%

California Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 96%

Los Angeles Mayoral Election Polymarket · Nithya Raman 58% · -0.8 24h

South Carolina Senate winner? Kalshi · Darline Graham 86%

NC-04 House Election Winner Polymarket · Valerie Foushee (D) 97% · +0.5 24h

Alaska Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Mary Peltola 74%

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? Polymarket · Thom Tillis 12%

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? Polymarket · ↓ 7% 53% · -9.2 24h

NJ-08 House Election Winner Polymarket · Rob Menendez (D) 95%

Iowa Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 55% · -3.0 24h

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? Polymarket · Rigged Election 44% · +35.5 24h

Georgia Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Rick Jackson (R) 50%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 62%

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? Polymarket · Above 58 8% · -1.0 24h

Florida Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Ashley Moody (R) 90%

NC-01 House Election Winner Polymarket · Don Davis (D) 66% · +4.0 24h

OH-14 House Election Winner Polymarket · David Joyce (R) 96%

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Polymarket · Yes 98%

View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

Rob Menendez Is Very Likely to Hold NJ-08 for Democrats

Where the money stands

Source markets for this story

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