U.S.Republican Party on track to win

Republicans Very Likely Hold GA-11

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “GA-11 House Election Winner”

Republican Party: very likely (94%)
Leading outcome Republican Party 94% Very likely · D
24h move ▲ 3.0 pts Republican Party
Traded 24h $14K $42K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-03

Where the money stands

Republican Party 94% ▲ 3.0
Democratic Party 7% ▼ 1.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. Democratic Party on track to win

Democrats Are Likely to Retake the House — but the Senate Stays Republican

Democratic Party: likely (85%)

A split Congress is the most probable outcome of the midterms, meaning legislative gridlock rather than a Democratic governing trifecta — the House flip, if it comes, changes the oversight landscape far more than the policy one.

Updated 10:45 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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traded today $94K markets read 5 venue Kalshi grade B tracked 38 days trending in today's news
U.S. one clear front-runner

Maria Bartiromo Leads a Wide-Open Press Secretary Race

Maria Bartiromo: probably not (28%)

Her surge comes at the direct expense of Anna Kelly and Scott Jennings, both of whom fell sharply — suggesting a concrete signal, not just speculation, has shifted money her way. With no candidate above 28%, the pick remains genuinely uncertain.

Updated 11:45 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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traded today $110K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 21 days trending in today's news
U.S. leaning J.D. Vance

Vance Holds a Narrow Edge in a Wide-Open 2028 Republican Race

J.D. Vance: a coin flip (53%)

His grip on the nomination is real but fragile — a 53% plurality with Rubio at 17% and a general-election market pricing him at just 25% suggests the party sees him as the default heir, not a commanding frontrunner.

Updated 12:34 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $3.2M markets read 6 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 38 days