WorldMagdalena Andersson on track to win

Magdalena Andersson Is Likely to Return as Sweden's Prime Minister

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Next Prime Minister of Sweden”

Magdalena Andersson: likely (76%)
Resolved The money put Magdalena Andersson at 89% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Magdalena Andersson 76% Likely · Stable · D · tracked 85 days peak 94% (35d ago) · low 64% (40d ago) 6 tier changes over tracking period
24h move 0.0 pts Magdalena Andersson
Traded 24h $17K $10.4M all time
Resolves by 2027-07-01

Where the money stands

Magdalena Andersson 76% 0.0
Ulf Kristersson 18% ▲ 0.7
Ebba Busch 3% ▲ 0.5
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist 1% 0.1
Jimmie Åkesson 0% 0.0
Anna-Karin Hatt 0% 0.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from World

World

Russia and Ukraine Are Very Likely to Meet at the Diplomatic Table

very likely (92%)

What collapsed to near-certainty three days ago has now snapped back — talks look very likely by year-end, and the surge in near-term October odds signals traders believe a meeting could come sooner than expected. Yet a ceasefire remains a coin-flip at best, meaning the diplomacy on the table is likely positioning, not resolution.

Updated 6:33 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $110K markets read 9 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 64 days range 96% (29d ago) – 72% (4d ago) probably not → very likely 6 tier changes
World

The US-Iran Ceasefire Holds, but a Lasting Deal Looks Distant

virtually certain (98%)

A durable truce is virtually certain through late October, but the absence of a final nuclear deal and the blockade still unresolved at a coin-flip means the ceasefire is a pause, not a resolution — leaving both sides positioned for the next confrontation rather than a settlement.

Updated 2:29 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $2.7M markets read 21 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 36 days range 100% (15d ago) – 87% (33d ago) likely → virtually certain 17 tier changes
World

A NATO-Russia Military Clash This Year Is Probably Not Coming

probably not (26%)

The war's trajectory — a ceasefire probable by end-2027 but peace talks increasingly doubted before year-end, and Kyiv strikes still expected — points to grinding attrition, not escalation to alliance-level conflict. This conviction has swung 13 times, though, and cannot be called settled.

Updated 4:32 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $251K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 86 days range 35% (0d ago) – 18% (40d ago) unlikely → probably not 16 tier changes