United Russia's Duma Majority Faces Wider Uncertainty Than Expected
Source: Polymarket market “United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?”
325–339: probably not (37%)
Leading outcome
325–339 37%
Probably not · Falling · B
24h move
▲
2.5 pts
325–339
Traded 24h
$23K
$322K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-20
Source markets
5
5 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
325–339
37%
▲
2.5
310–324
24%
0.3
340–354
22%
0.0
355+
6%
▼
2.0
295–309
6%
▲
1.4
<280
3%
▼
2.6
Source markets for this story
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Polymarket · United Russia (ER) 70% · +1.0 24h
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Polymarket · Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 90% · +4.5 24h
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Polymarket · 325–339 37% · +2.5 24h
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
Polymarket · United Russia (ER) 99%
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Polymarket · Yes 66% · -0.5 24h
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