Finance

Kimberly Powell's Exit From Nvidia Is a Coin Flip Through Year-End

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “NVIDIA VP Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by...?”

leaning yes (55%)
Leading outcome December 31, 2026 55% Leaning yes · C
24h move ▼ 11.5 pts December 31, 2026
Traded 24h $35K $38K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01

Where the money stands

December 31, 2026 55% ▼ 11.5
November 30, 2026 37% ▼ 10.5
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance

Bitcoin Is Virtually Certain to Revisit $70,000 Before End of 2026

virtually certain (100%)

What had been a leaning-yes call is now a near-certainty — but this market has crossed conviction rungs 27 times, so the signal demands respect without finality. The near-term picture is sharper: traders price a better-than-even chance of a dip to $67,500 this month alone, suggesting the move toward $70,000 is not a distant scenario but an imminent stress test.

Updated 10:46 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $636K markets read 24 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 107 days range 92% (83d ago) – 42% (8d ago) trending in today's news probably not → leaning yes 27 tier changes venues agree
Finance one clear front-runner

Ian Buck Leads a Wide-Open Race to Succeed Jensen Huang at NVIDIA

Ian Buck: probably not (30%)

Jensen Huang's departure is increasingly treated as a matter of when, not whether — a congressional testimony market sits at 91% and a divorce market has surged to 42%, painting a picture of an executive whose personal and political exposure is rapidly accumulating. Buck leads the succession field at a thin 30%, meaning no heir apparent has emerged.

Updated 6:41 PM ET ▼ drifting down for days
the numbers
traded today $864K markets read 19 venue Polymarket grade A range 48% (2d ago) – 32% (0d ago) a coin flip → probably not venues disagree 10.5pp
Finance 25 bps increase on track to win

The Fed Is Very Likely to Hike Rates in December

25 bps increase: very likely (90%)

A tightening cycle is extending well into 2027 — with no cuts priced for all of 2026 and March 2027 hike odds sitting at 60%, the Fed's pivot is not coming. The December move looks increasingly like the middle of a sequence, not the end of one.

Updated 10:20 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $1.4M markets read 10 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 102 days range 88% (0d ago) – 44% (69d ago) 15 tier changes