U.S.4-6 on track to win

Between Four and Six Republican House Incumbents Are Very Likely to Lose Their Primaries in 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?”

4-6: very likely (95%)
Resolved The money put 4-6 at 95% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 4-6 95% Very likely · D
24h move 0.1 pts 4-6
Traded 24h $10K $96K all time
Resolves by —

Where the money stands

4-6 95% 0.1
7-9 3% 0.1
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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