Finance

MicroStrategy Will Very Likely Fall Short of One Million Bitcoin by Year-End

By Priced In News Staff

very unlikely (6%)

Leading outcome 1M+ 6% Very unlikely · A

24h move ▲ 1.5 pts 1M+

Traded 24h $25K $540K all time

Resolves by 2027-01-01

Source markets for this story

Bitcoin above ___ on October 5? Polymarket · 74,000 100%

BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi · $75,250 or above 100%

What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Polymarket · ↓ 85,000 88%

BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi · $73,500 or above 98%

BTC price on Oct 5, 2026 at 7am EDT? Kalshi · $75,600 or above 100%

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Polymarket · ↑ 90,000 78% · +3.0 24h

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 Kalshi · $60,000+ 94%

Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000? Kalshi · Yes 8% · -1.0 24h

BTC 15 min · $86,085.00 target Kalshi · Yes 27%

Bitcoin above ___ on October 6? Polymarket · 76,000 100%

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 5? Polymarket · ↑ 87,000 38%

Bitcoin price on October 5? Polymarket · 86,000-88,000 54% · +29.0 24h

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? Polymarket · Yes 86% · +36.5 24h

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2028 14% · -1.0 24h

What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11? Polymarket · ↑ 88,000 62%

Bitcoin above ___ on October 7? Polymarket · 74,000 100%

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026? Polymarket · 1M+ 6% · +1.5 24h

Bitcoin above ___ on October 8? Polymarket · 74,000 100% · +0.7 24h

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Polymarket · Yes 34% · -16.5 24h