World

An Arab Party Disqualification from Israel's Election Is Very Unlikely

By Priced In News Staff

very unlikely (7%)

Leading outcome Yes 7% Very unlikely · B venues disagree 31.5pp

24h move 0.0 pts Yes

Traded 24h $22K $22K all time

Resolves by 2026-11-30

Source markets for this story

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Polymarket · Benjamin Netanyahu 46% · -1.5 24h

Israeli Legislative Election Winner Polymarket · Likud 99%

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? Kalshi · No one 56% · -1.0 24h

Israel Election: Likud # of seats? Polymarket · 20+ Likud seats 98% · -1.7 24h

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats? Polymarket · 8+ 86% · +81.7 24h

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats? Polymarket · 10-11 93% · +10.0 24h

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place Polymarket · Together 99% · +9.4 24h

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 57% · +23.0 24h

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? Polymarket · Yes 1%

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats? Polymarket · 6-7 92% · +5.8 24h

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government? Polymarket · Yashar 42% · -7.0 24h

Israeli Knesset election annulled? Polymarket · Yes 8%

How many Israeli elections before government formed? Polymarket · 1 46% · +2.0 24h

Next Israeli government formed by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 64% · +1.0 24h

Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Polymarket · Yes 60% · +3.5 24h

Israel Election: Together vote share? Polymarket · 9-11% 94% · +25.0 24h

Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? Polymarket · Yes 7%

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share? Polymarket · <2.75% 80% · +24.0 24h