World

Paris Is on the Edge of a Curfew — a Dead Heat on Timing

By Priced In News Staff

leaning yes (66%)

Leading outcome October 24 66% Leaning yes · A unlikely → leaning yes

24h move ▲ 41.5 pts October 24

Traded 24h $125K $126K all time

Resolves by 2026-11-01

Where the money stands

October 24 66% ▲ 41.5

October 31 64% ▲ 40.0

October 21 61% ▲ 54.9

October 19 52% ▲ 48.9

Next French Presidential Election Polymarket · Marine Le Pen 47% · -0.9 24h

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...? Polymarket · December 31 4%

Paris curfew announced by...? Polymarket · October 24 66% · +41.5 24h

Curfew in a major French city by...? Polymarket · December 31 90%

France declares state of emergency by...? Polymarket · December 31 19%