The 2028 Presidential Race Favorite by November 30 Is Genuinely Unknowable
Source: Polymarket market “2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?”
Other: a coin flip (50%)
Leading outcome
Other 50%
A coin flip · C · tracked 7 days
venues disagree 22.1pp
24h move
0.4 pts
Other
Traded 24h
$15K
$77K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-30
Source markets
10
10 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Other
50%
0.4
JD Vance
30%
▼
2.5
Gavin Newsom
3%
0.2
Marco Rubio
3%
0.1
Kamala Harris
3%
0.3
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2%
0.1
Source markets for this story
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi · Jon Ossoff 27% · +1.0 24h
2028 Republican presidential nominee
Kalshi · J.D. Vance 34% · +2.0 24h
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket · Jon Ossoff 26%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket · Jon Ossoff 21% · +2.3 24h
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket · J.D. Vance 38% · +3.1 24h
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Kalshi · Jon Ossoff 23% · +1.0 24h
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Polymarket · Democratic 68%
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Polymarket · Pete Buttigieg 39% · +26.6 24h
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
Polymarket · Rob Sand 23%
2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
Polymarket · Other 50%
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