Israeli Voter Turnout Is Very Likely to Exceed 74%
Source: Polymarket market “Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout”
74%+: virtually certain (100%)
Leading outcome
74%+ 100%
Virtually certain · B · tracked 4 days
venues disagree 26.0pp
24h move
0.1 pts
74%+
Traded 24h
$29K
$133K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-28
Source markets
19
19 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
74%+
100%
0.1
70-72%
0%
0.1
72-74%
0%
0.2
<66%
0%
0.4
66-68%
0%
0.0
68-70%
0%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket · Benjamin Netanyahu 40% · -4.5 24h
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Polymarket · Likud 100%
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Polymarket · 20+ Likud seats 100% · +0.8 24h
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Kalshi · No one 50% · -3.0 24h
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
Polymarket · 8+ 97% · +74.5 24h
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
Polymarket · 10-11 98% · +15.5 24h
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 68% · +18.5 24h
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Polymarket · Yashar 52% · +9.5 24h
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
Polymarket · Yes 3% · -4.8 24h
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Polymarket · 4 70% · +1.9 24h
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
Polymarket · Together 98% · +1.1 24h
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
Polymarket · 6-7 99% · +7.2 24h
Netanyahu out by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 42% · +3.5 24h
How many Israeli elections before government formed?
Polymarket · 1 53% · +4.5 24h
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?
Polymarket · 6-7 97% · +63.6 24h
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
Polymarket · Yes 7% · +3.5 24h
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
Polymarket · December 31 26% · -8.0 24h
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Polymarket · Yes 1%
Next Israeli government formed by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 68% · +5.0 24h
The Money Talks —
Eizenkot's Lead Is Real — But This Race Is Far From Settled
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