World

A Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by End of 2027 Is Now Only a Lean

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?”

leaning yes (72%)
Resolved The money put December 31 at 28% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome December 31, 2027 72% Leaning yes · Stable · A · tracked 86 days peak 72% (28d ago) · low 26% (68d ago) 5 tier changes over tracking period
24h move 0.0 pts December 31, 2027
Traded 24h $164K $9.6M all time
Resolves by 2027-07-01
Source markets 11 11 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

December 31, 2027 72% 0.0
November 30, 2027 68% ▲ 0.5
October 31, 2027 66% ▲ 0.5
September 30, 2027 63% ▼ 1.0
August 31, 2027 60% 0.0
July 31, 2027 58% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? Polymarket · December 31 100% · +9.4 24h
NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 32% · -2.0 24h
NBA: 2027 Champion Polymarket · Oklahoma City Thunder 24% · +1.0 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 10%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 72%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 52% · +3.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? Polymarket · December 31 87% · +13.5 24h
US-Iran nuclear deal? Kalshi · Before Jan 20, 2029 38% · +2.0 24h
Will Russia target Kyiv on...? Polymarket · October 28 88% · -1.0 24h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 8%
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? Polymarket · No meeting before 2027 93% · +0.5 24h
The Money Talks — Russia's Capture of Dobropillia Is Very Likely a Matter of When, Not Whether
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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