WorldTogether on track to win

Together Is Likely to Finish Third in Israel's Legislative Election

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place”

Together: likely (80%)
Leading outcome Together 80% Likely · B very likely → likely
24h move ▲ 8.5 pts Together
Traded 24h $31K $48K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-28
Source markets 3 3 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Together 80% ▲ 8.5
The Democrats 8% ▼ 11.5
Otzma Yehudit 1% ▼ 4.1
Yisrael Beiteinu 1% ▼ 4.5
Ra'am 0% ▼ 2.4
Amcha Yisrael 0% 0.1

Source markets for this story

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Polymarket · Gadi Eizenkot 49% · +0.7 24h
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place Polymarket · Together 80% · +8.5 24h
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) Polymarket · December 31 26% · +1.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from World

World

Russia Is Very Likely to Strike Kyiv Again in October

very likely (96%)

The war has settled into a rhythm of mutual capital strikes — with Ukraine's odds of hitting Moscow in mid-October now at 86%, the exchange looks less like escalation than an institutionalized pattern of reprisal. A ceasefire by year-end is priced at just 10%, meaning this cycle has no near-term exit.

Updated 5:14 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $80K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 14 days range 100% (8d ago) – 90% (7d ago) trending in today's news likely → very likely 4 tier changes
World Flávio Bolsonaro on track to win

Flávio Bolsonaro Is Likely to Win Brazil's Presidency

Flávio Bolsonaro: likely (86%)

Having surged from a coin flip less than a month ago to an 86% favorite, Bolsonaro's trajectory reflects a rapid consolidation of the Brazilian right — but the market has been volatile enough that Lula's 12% share is not mere noise, and the margin of a prospective second-round win remains genuinely contested.

Updated 9:12 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $222K markets read 3 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 77 days range 89% (4d ago) – 50% (31d ago) 3 tier changes venues agree
World

Hormuz Shipping Strikes Are Now a Near-Daily Certainty Through Mid-October

very likely (95%)

The blockade is holding and there is no near-term exit — Hormuz traffic returning to normal by year-end is a long shot at 14%, while ceasefires on both the U.S.-Iran and Israel-Iran fronts remain intact, meaning the disruption is deliberate and sustained, not a spillover from active conflict.

Updated 12:36 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $31K markets read 12 venue Polymarket grade A likely → very likely