WorldLula on track to win

Lula Is Likely to Carry Pará in the Presidential Runoff

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará”

Lula: likely (78%)
Leading outcome Lula 78% Likely · B leaning yes → likely venues agree
24h move ▼ 8.5 pts Lula
Traded 24h $19K $38K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-26
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Lula 78% ▼ 8.5
Flavio Bolsonaro 21% ▲ 12.0

Source markets for this story

Brazil Presidential Election Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 87% · -1.1 24h
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory Polymarket · Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% 48% · -1.0 24h
Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi · Flávio Bolsonaro 88% · +1.0 24h
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará Polymarket · Lula 78% · -8.5 24h
The Money Talks — Flávio Bolsonaro Probably Wins in 2026 — and the Race Just Shifted Beneath Lula's Feet
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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